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Tord vs Grebbestad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tord host Grebbestad in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Tord have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded recently, against Grebbestad's 1.76 scored and 1.62 conceded. Head-to-head, Tord have won 1 to Grebbestad's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.75, favoring Grebbestad. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tord
15%
Draws
51%
Grebbestad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grebbestad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grebbestad lately — more wins on the board than Tord.
  • Model gives Grebbestad a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Grebbestad have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Tord Clean Sheet 12%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tord Grebbestad
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Tord
3:0
Oct 11, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Tord
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Grebbestad
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tord 22 / 100
Grebbestad 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tord Grebbestad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grebbestad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grebbestad has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Tord's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Tord has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tord VS Grebbestad
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tord

(Home)
04 Oct
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Tord
27 Sept
Tord
1 : 5
Stenungsunds IF
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
12 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Tord
05 Sept
Tord
1 : 3
Husqvarna
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Grebbestad

(Away)
05 Oct
Herrestads AIF
3 : 1
Grebbestad
26 Sept
Grebbestad
3 : 1
Skara
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Grebbestad
0 : 1
Lidkoping
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 24 8 4 12 30:40 28
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 24 6 7 11 23:42 25
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)