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Tord vs Stenungsunds IF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
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Match Events

9' Event
Pettersson A.
20' Event
Hassellov E.
43' Event
Abika K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Tord and Stenungsunds IF finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stenungsunds IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tord
15%
Draws
46%
Stenungsunds IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stenungsunds IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Stenungsunds IF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Stenungsunds IF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Tord Clean Sheet 11%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tord Stenungsunds IF
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Stenungsunds IF
1:5
Mar 29, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Tord
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tord Compare

Top Goalscorer Issa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Pettersson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hassellov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tord 10 / 100
Stenungsunds IF 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tord Stenungsunds IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenungsunds IF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Stenungsunds IF conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tord found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Tord remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tord VS Stenungsunds IF
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tord

(Home)
04 Oct
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Tord
27 Sept
Tord
1 : 5
Stenungsunds IF
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
12 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Tord
05 Sept
Tord
1 : 3
Husqvarna
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Stenungsunds IF

(Away)
03 Oct
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 3
IFK Skovde
27 Sept
Tord
1 : 5
Stenungsunds IF
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)