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Tord vs Vanersborgs FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ericsson E.
36' Event
Johansson M.
72' Event
Petrovic A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tord
15%
Draws
34%
Vanersborgs FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vanersborgs FK lately — more wins on the board than Tord.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tord Clean Sheet 14%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tord Vanersborgs FK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Tord
1:2
May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Vanersborgs FK
2:2
Oct 3, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Vanersborgs FK
2:1
May 9, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Tord
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tord Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Svefors W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ericsson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johansson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tord 31 / 100
Vanersborgs FK 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tord Vanersborgs FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs FK let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Tord found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Vanersborgs FK has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tord VS Vanersborgs FK
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tord

(Home)
04 Oct
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Tord
27 Sept
Tord
1 : 5
Stenungsunds IF
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
12 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Tord
05 Sept
Tord
1 : 3
Husqvarna
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Vanersborgs FK

(Away)
08 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
3 : 3
Kumla
03 Oct
Lidkoping
1 : 0
Vanersborgs FK
26 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3
Husqvarna
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)