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Tord vs Vanersborgs FK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tord play Vanersborgs FK in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tord averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Vanersborgs FK averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. In past meetings, Tord won 1, Vanersborgs FK won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Tord and 1.75 for Vanersborgs FK. This points to a Vanersborgs FK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tord
35%
Draws
36%
Vanersborgs FK
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vanersborgs FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Tord picked up more points recently compared to Vanersborgs FK.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Tord Clean Sheet 12%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tord Vanersborgs FK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 9
Draws 14 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Vanersborgs FK
2:2
Oct 3, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Vanersborgs FK
2:1
May 9, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Tord
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tord Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Svefors W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ericsson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johansson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tord 29 / 100
Vanersborgs FK 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tord Vanersborgs FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vanersborgs FK or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tord attacking → ← attacking Vanersborgs FK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tord scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Vanersborgs FK let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Tord went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vanersborgs FK lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 36
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408