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Torgelower Greif vs FSV Schwerin

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2021/2022 game between Torgelower Greif and FSV Schwerin finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torgelower Greif.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Torgelower Greif
20%
Draws
29%
FSV Schwerin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torgelower Greif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torgelower Greif come out ahead of FSV Schwerin on wins alone.
  • Model gives Torgelower Greif a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Torgelower Greif have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Torgelower Greif Clean Sheet 17%
FSV Schwerin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torgelower Greif FSV Schwerin
Matches Played 25 32
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.8 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.08 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Torgelower Greif vs FSV Schwerin
3:0
Oct 30, 2021 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
FSV Schwerin vs Torgelower Greif
0:4
Jun 3, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Torgelower Greif vs FSV Schwerin
2:1
Dec 9, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
FSV Schwerin vs Torgelower Greif
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torgelower Greif 41 / 100
FSV Schwerin 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torgelower Greif FSV Schwerin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torgelower Greif's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Defensive concern: FSV Schwerin conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Torgelower Greif remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FSV Schwerin
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Torgelower Greif

(Home)
18 Jun
Torgelower Greif
1 : 3
CFC Hertha
12 Jun
Pampow
2 : 0
Torgelower Greif
04 Jun
Torgelower Greif
3 : 0
FSV Schwerin
28 May
Blau Weiss Berlin
0 : 2
Torgelower Greif
21 May
Torgelower Greif
3 : 0
SC Staaken
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FSV Schwerin

(Away)
26 Sept
Mahlsdorf
3 : 1
FSV Schwerin
18 Sept
FSV Schwerin
1 : 2
Wismar
13 Sept
Berliner AK 07
2 : 2
FSV Schwerin
28 Aug
FSV Schwerin
2 : 1
TB Berlin
16 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 1
FSV Schwerin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Greifswalder FC 31 21 5 5 61:35 68
2 Hertha Zehlendorf 32 21 3 8 67:31 66
3 CFC Hertha 32 19 6 7 58:36 63
4 Blau Weiss Berlin 31 19 3 9 64:41 60
5 TSG Neustrelitz 30 17 7 6 44:25 58
6 SC Staaken 32 17 8 7 67:36 59
7 Rostocker FC 31 18 2 11 68:32 56
8 Mahlsdorf 31 15 6 10 55:38 51
9 Torgelower Greif 31 14 6 11 60:37 48
10 Hansa Rostock II 31 13 8 10 73:49 47
11 Rsv Eintracht 31 11 12 8 49:43 45
12 Pampow 31 10 9 12 47:55 39
13 FSV Schwerin 32 10 4 18 39:63 34
14 Ludwigsfelder 31 9 6 16 31:46 33
15 Neuruppin 31 6 10 15 35:63 28
16 SFC Stern 1900 31 5 8 18 32:64 23
17 Brandenburger 32 5 7 20 26:55 22
18 Seelow 30 4 4 22 31:84 16
19 Stendal 31 3 4 24 27:101 13
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2022/2023 (Main)