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Stadium Background

Torgelower Greif vs Mahlsdorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2021/2022
Sat, Jun 18, 2022
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torgelower Greif host Mahlsdorf in the Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2021/2022. Little to choose between these two on current form. Torgelower Greif have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.08 conceded recently, against Mahlsdorf's 1.43 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Mahlsdorf slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 18, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.30, favoring Mahlsdorf. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Torgelower Greif
15%
Draws
45%
Mahlsdorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mahlsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mahlsdorf come out ahead of Torgelower Greif on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Torgelower Greif Clean Sheet 19%
Mahlsdorf Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torgelower Greif Mahlsdorf
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.8 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Torgelower Greif vs Mahlsdorf
0:0
Mar 6, 2022 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs Torgelower Greif
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torgelower Greif 36 / 100
Mahlsdorf 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torgelower Greif Mahlsdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mahlsdorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torgelower Greif found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (25 games).

Mahlsdorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Torgelower Greif went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mahlsdorf
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Torgelower Greif

(Home)
18 Jun
Torgelower Greif
1 : 3
CFC Hertha
12 Jun
Pampow
2 : 0
Torgelower Greif
04 Jun
Torgelower Greif
3 : 0
FSV Schwerin
28 May
Blau Weiss Berlin
0 : 2
Torgelower Greif
21 May
Torgelower Greif
3 : 0
SC Staaken
Page 1 of 5

Mahlsdorf

(Away)
26 Sept
Mahlsdorf
3 : 1
FSV Schwerin
20 Sept
Berliner AK 07
1 : 0
Mahlsdorf
13 Sept
Mahlsdorf
2 : 0
Sparta Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Reinickendorfer
1 : 1
Mahlsdorf
15 Aug
Mahlsdorf
1 : 0
Rathenow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Greifswalder FC 31 21 5 5 61:35 68
2 Hertha Zehlendorf 32 21 3 8 67:31 66
3 CFC Hertha 32 19 6 7 58:36 63
4 Blau Weiss Berlin 31 19 3 9 64:41 60
5 TSG Neustrelitz 30 17 7 6 44:25 58
6 SC Staaken 32 17 8 7 67:36 59
7 Rostocker FC 31 18 2 11 68:32 56
8 Mahlsdorf 31 15 6 10 55:38 51
9 Torgelower Greif 31 14 6 11 60:37 48
10 Hansa Rostock II 31 13 8 10 73:49 47
11 Rsv Eintracht 31 11 12 8 49:43 45
12 Pampow 31 10 9 12 47:55 39
13 FSV Schwerin 32 10 4 18 39:63 34
14 Ludwigsfelder 31 9 6 16 31:46 33
15 Neuruppin 31 6 10 15 35:63 28
16 SFC Stern 1900 31 5 8 18 32:64 23
17 Brandenburger 32 5 7 20 26:55 22
18 Seelow 30 4 4 22 31:84 16
19 Stendal 31 3 4 24 27:101 13
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