Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Torlak vs Prva Iskra

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 game between Torlak and Prva Iskra finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torlak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Torlak
15%
Draws
36%
Prva Iskra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Torlak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torlak come out ahead of Prva Iskra on wins alone.
  • Model gives Torlak a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Torlak Clean Sheet 15%
Prva Iskra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torlak Prva Iskra
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.24 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Torlak vs Prva Iskra
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Prva Iskra vs Torlak
1:4
May 10, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Torlak vs Prva Iskra
2:3
Oct 28, 2023 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Prva Iskra vs Torlak
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Prva Iskra vs Torlak
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torlak 48 / 100
Prva Iskra 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torlak Prva Iskra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torlak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torlak scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Prva Iskra has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Prva Iskra registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torlak VS Prva Iskra
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Torlak

(Home)
12 Sept
Torlak
5 : 1
Zvezdara
05 Sept
Buducnost Dobanovci
4 : 0
Torlak
29 Aug
Torlak
2 : 3
Usce
23 Aug
Padinska Skela
0 : 0
Torlak
30 May
Buducnost Dobanovci
3 : 1
Torlak
Page 1 of 6

Prva Iskra

(Away)
12 Sept
Prva Iskra
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Surcin
05 Sept
Bacevac
2 : 0
Prva Iskra
29 Aug
Prva Iskra
0 : 2
Zvezdara
22 Aug
Buducnost Dobanovci
3 : 0
Prva Iskra
21 Jul
Javor
3 : 0
Prva Iskra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teleoptik 26 21 5 0 77:23 68
2 Radnicki Obrenovac 26 17 4 5 70:40 55
3 Torlak 26 14 5 7 59:30 47
4 Brodarac 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
5 Padinska Skela 26 10 7 9 31:32 37
6 Jedinstvo Surcin 26 10 6 10 25:30 36
7 Buducnost Dobanovci 26 9 9 8 35:32 36
8 Nika Lepusnica 26 9 9 8 43:24 36
9 Prva Iskra 26 9 6 11 38:39 33
10 Polet Dorcol 26 9 5 12 36:40 32
11 Zvezdara 26 9 5 12 33:45 32
12 BASK 26 8 6 12 27:31 29
13 Radnicki Beograd 26 4 7 15 25:53 18
14 Kolubara 26 1 0 25 9:103 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 (Relegation)