Sport Picks

Indonesia

Championship Stadion Sriwedari

Tornado Pekanbaru

2 - 1

Persipura Jayapura

Our Tip

Match Events

Yudo K.

Assist: Ragil M.

26'

Ragil M.

40'

Sub

Yudo K. In: Alkanza Y.

Out: Yudo K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Tornado Pekanbaru and Persipura Jayapura finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tornado Pekanbaru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Tornado Pekanbaru

30%

Draws

34%

Persipura Jayapura

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tornado Pekanbaru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Tornado Pekanbaru haven't matched Persipura Jayapura's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Tornado Pekanbaru's way, sitting at 36%.
European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Tornado Pekanbaru have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Tornado Pekanbaru Clean Sheet 20%

Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tornado Pekanbaru	Persipura Jayapura
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	15	19
Draws	5	5
Losses	7	6
Goals Scored	1.88	1.75
Goals Conceded	0.38	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Championship

Tornado Pekanbaru vs Persipura Jayapura

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Nov 22, 2025 Championship

Tornado Pekanbaru vs Persipura Jayapura

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Sep 28, 2025 Championship

Persipura Jayapura vs Tornado Pekanbaru

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tornado Pekanbaru Compare

Top Goalscorer Yudo K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ragil M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Persipura Jayapura Compare

Top Goalscorer Lugo W.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tornado Pekanbaru 36 / 100

Persipura Jayapura 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tornado Pekanbaru Persipura Jayapura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tornado Pekanbaru's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Tornado Pekanbaru has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Persipura Jayapura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tornado Pekanbaru VS Persipura Jayapura

1.88 Goals Scored 1.75

0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Garudayaksa	27	14	10	3	49:19	52
2	Adhyaksa	27	14	9	4	64:34	51
3	Bekasi City	27	12	8	7	42:27	44
4	Sumsel United	27	12	6	9	40:33	42
5	Persiraja Aceh	27	10	10	7	42:32	40
6	PSPS Riau	27	9	10	8	50:45	37
7	PSMS Medan	27	9	9	9	33:31	36
8	Persikad Depok	27	9	7	11	39:45	34
9	Persekat Tegal	27	6	9	12	23:38	27
10	Sriwijaya	27	0	2	25	15:93	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSS Sleman	27	16	8	3	53:19	56
2	Persipura Jayapura	27	17	5	5	44:17	56
3	PS Barito Putera	27	15	8	4	41:18	53
4	Tornado Pekanbaru	27	15	5	7	47:21	50
5	Deltras Sidoarjo	27	13	3	11	39:33	42
6	Persela Lamongan	27	11	8	8	34:26	41
7	Persiku Kudus	27	7	6	14	35:41	27
8	PSIS Semarang	27	6	5	16	22:50	23
9	Balikpapan	27	4	7	16	23:42	19
10	Persipal BU	27	0	7	20	19:90	7