Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tornado Pekanbaru vs PSIS Semarang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Jatidiri Stadium, Semarang
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Prahalabenta R.
38'
Sub
Prahalabenta R. In: Patrick
Out: Prahalabenta R.
48'
Prasetyo A.

AI Match Summary

Tornado Pekanbaru in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tornado Pekanbaru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tornado Pekanbaru
30%
Draws
33%
PSIS Semarang
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tornado Pekanbaru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tornado Pekanbaru have won more games recently than PSIS Semarang.
  • Model gives Tornado Pekanbaru a 42% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tornado Pekanbaru here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tornado Pekanbaru Clean Sheet 20%
PSIS Semarang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tornado Pekanbaru PSIS Semarang
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Championship
PSIS Semarang vs Tornado Pekanbaru
1:0
Jan 30, 2026 Championship
PSIS Semarang vs Tornado Pekanbaru
0:3
Nov 7, 2025 Championship
Tornado Pekanbaru vs PSIS Semarang
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tornado Pekanbaru Compare

Top Goalscorer Prasetyo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patrick
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

PSIS Semarang Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez Gonzalez C. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tornado Pekanbaru 42 / 100
PSIS Semarang 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tornado Pekanbaru PSIS Semarang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tornado Pekanbaru went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Tornado Pekanbaru scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

PSIS Semarang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tornado Pekanbaru VS PSIS Semarang
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tornado Pekanbaru

(Home)
03 Oct
Persis Solo
0 : 2
Tornado Pekanbaru
26 Sept
Tornado Pekanbaru
2 : 2
PS Barito Putera
18 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
12 Sept
Dejan
0 : 1
Tornado Pekanbaru
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0
Persela Lamongan
Page 1 of 6

PSIS Semarang

(Away)
09 Oct
PSIS Semarang
1 : 3
Persiraja Aceh
03 Oct
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0
Bekasi City
27 Sept
Persiku Kudus
0 : 3
PSIS Semarang
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1
PSIS Semarang
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1
PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)