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Tornesch vs HEBC Hamburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Pankraz L.
20' Event
23' Event
Buttler J.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 game between Tornesch and HEBC Hamburg finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HEBC Hamburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tornesch
15%
Draws
57%
HEBC Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HEBC Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • HEBC Hamburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on HEBC Hamburg taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tornesch Clean Sheet 20%
HEBC Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tornesch HEBC Hamburg
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.68
Goals Conceded 3.14 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs HEBC Hamburg
2:3
Sep 10, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Tornesch
3:3
Apr 2, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs HEBC Hamburg
0:2
Oct 11, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Tornesch
1:1
Nov 14, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
HEBC Hamburg vs Tornesch
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tornesch Compare

Top Goalscorer Pankraz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

HEBC Hamburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Buttler J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lemke F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tornesch 10 / 100
HEBC Hamburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tornesch HEBC Hamburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEBC Hamburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Tornesch found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

HEBC Hamburg let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Away concern: HEBC Hamburg has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS HEBC Hamburg
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tornesch

(Home)
28 Jun
Tornesch
0 : 5
Eintracht Norderstedt
21 Jan
Tornesch
1 : 6
Eintracht Norderstedt
17 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
7 : 0
Tornesch
12 May
Tornesch
4 : 3
Alsterbruder
28 Apr
Sasel
4 : 0
Tornesch
Page 1 of 6

HEBC Hamburg

(Away)
02 Oct
Harksheide
0 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
27 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
1 : 0
Pinneberg
19 Sept
Altona
2 : 0
HEBC Hamburg
13 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
2 : 3
SC Victoria Hamburg
06 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
3 : 2
HEBC Hamburg
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
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