Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tornesch vs Paloma

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Scobel P.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 game between Tornesch and Paloma finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tornesch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tornesch
15%
Draws
64%
Paloma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Paloma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Paloma a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tornesch Clean Sheet 14%
Paloma Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tornesch Paloma
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.31 2.29
Goals Conceded 3.14 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Paloma vs Tornesch
0:0
Mar 24, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs Paloma
1:0
Oct 1, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Tornesch
4:1
Mar 5, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Tornesch
5:0
Sep 25, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs Paloma
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tornesch Compare

Top Goalscorer Scobel P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Paloma Compare

Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tornesch 10 / 100
Paloma 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tornesch Paloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paloma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Paloma conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Tornesch's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tornesch stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paloma
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tornesch

(Home)
28 Jun
Tornesch
0 : 5
Eintracht Norderstedt
21 Jan
Tornesch
1 : 6
Eintracht Norderstedt
17 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
7 : 0
Tornesch
12 May
Tornesch
4 : 3
Alsterbruder
28 Apr
Sasel
4 : 0
Tornesch
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Paloma

(Away)
14 Aug
SC Victoria Hamburg
1 : 5
Paloma
02 Aug
Paloma
1 : 2
Vorwarts-Wacker
24 Jul
HT 16
2 : 3
Paloma
04 Jul
Todesfelde
2 : 1
Paloma
15 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
0 : 6
Paloma
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)