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Tornesch vs Suderelbe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Tornesch Logo

Tornesch

2 - 1
FT
Suderelbe Logo

Suderelbe

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Krasniqi E.
62' Event
Pankraz L.
63' Event
Scobel P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 game between Tornesch and Suderelbe finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tornesch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tornesch
20%
Draws
50%
Suderelbe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suderelbe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suderelbe come out ahead of Tornesch on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Suderelbe taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tornesch Clean Sheet 16%
Suderelbe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tornesch Suderelbe
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.31 2.03
Goals Conceded 3.14 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs Suderelbe
2:1
Sep 15, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Suderelbe vs Tornesch
8:0
Mar 19, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs Suderelbe
1:0
Sep 30, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Suderelbe vs Tornesch
6:1
Oct 31, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs Suderelbe
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tornesch Compare

Top Goalscorer Pankraz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scobel P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Suderelbe Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasniqi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tornesch 10 / 100
Suderelbe 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tornesch Suderelbe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suderelbe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Tornesch scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Suderelbe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 35 matches.

Tornesch went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Suderelbe
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tornesch

(Home)
28 Jun
Tornesch
0 : 5
Eintracht Norderstedt
21 Jan
Tornesch
1 : 6
Eintracht Norderstedt
17 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
7 : 0
Tornesch
12 May
Tornesch
4 : 3
Alsterbruder
28 Apr
Sasel
4 : 0
Tornesch
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Suderelbe

(Away)
04 Oct
Pinneberg
2 : 1
Suderelbe
26 Sept
Suderelbe
1 : 1
SC Victoria Hamburg
18 Sept
Vorwarts-Wacker
0 : 0
Suderelbe
11 Sept
Suderelbe
1 : 0
HT 16
06 Sept
Niendorfer TSV
1 : 0
Suderelbe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
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