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Torns vs Lilla Torg

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland Tornvallen Stångby
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torns play Lilla Torg in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Torns averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Lilla Torg averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Torns won 0, Lilla Torg won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 24, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Torns and 1.75 for Lilla Torg. This points to a Lilla Torg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Torns
23%
Draws
45%
Lilla Torg
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Lilla Torg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Torns picked up more points recently compared to Lilla Torg.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Torns Clean Sheet 12%
Lilla Torg Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torns Lilla Torg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 2 12
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Lilla Torg vs Torns
4:0
May 13, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Torns vs Lilla Torg
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torns Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lilla Torg Compare

Top Goalscorer Okenge J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eklund A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torns 31 / 100
Lilla Torg 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torns Lilla Torg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lilla Torg or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Torns attacking → ← attacking Lilla Torg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torns scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Lilla Torg let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Torns went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lilla Torg lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 36
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Karlskrona1493228:1630
2Linero IF1481528:1925
3Oskarshamn1473427:1724
4IFK Trelleborg1365219:1123
5Vaxjo Norra1465320:1723
6IFK Berga1463527:1921
7Nosaby IF1355323:2120
8Osterlen FF1453618:2118
9Lilla Torg1446415:2018
10Staffanstorp United1445526:2617
11Solvesborgs1451822:2316
12Torns1450920:3715
13Rappe GOIF1433814:2512
14IFK Karlshamn14211114:297