Sport Picks

Toronto FC II vs Chattanooga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA

MLS Next Pro York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON

Toronto FC II

Fri, Aug 14, 2026

3 - 2

11:00 PM

Chattanooga

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Nolan J.

23'

Krehl A.

Assist: Mangarov D.

61'

Sub

Blyth T. In: Dawson L.

Out: Blyth T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toronto FC II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toronto FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Toronto FC II

15%

Draws

49%

Chattanooga

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chattanooga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence

Chattanooga have won more games recently than Toronto FC II.
Chattanooga are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%

Chattanooga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Toronto FC II	Chattanooga
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	13	22
Draws	0	0
Losses	17	9
Goals Scored	1.7	2.06
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.35
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Toronto FC II vs Chattanooga

3:2

Aug 2, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Chattanooga vs Toronto FC II

1:2

May 9, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Toronto FC II vs Chattanooga

1:2

Sep 29, 2024 MLS Next Pro

Toronto FC II vs Chattanooga

1:5

Aug 3, 2024 MLS Next Pro

Chattanooga vs Toronto FC II

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Nolan J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dixon D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.39

Avg xA / game 0.91

Chattanooga Compare

Top Goalscorer Krehl A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sar-Sar F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.87

Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC II 14 / 100

Chattanooga 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Toronto FC II Chattanooga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chattanooga Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC II scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Chattanooga let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Toronto FC II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC II VS Chattanooga

2.25 Goals Scored 2.13

2 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Toronto FC II

(Home)

20 Sept

Toronto FC II

1 : 3

New England Revolution II

13 Sept

Orlando City B

3 : 1

Toronto FC II

08 Sept

Toronto FC II

4 : 2

Columbus Crew 2

04 Sept

Toronto FC II

2 : 1

FC Cincinnati 2

28 Aug

Toronto FC II

2 : 0

New York City II

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Chattanooga

(Away)

20 Sept

Chicago Fire II

0 : 1

Chattanooga

13 Sept

Chattanooga

4 : 1

Atlanta United 2

10 Sept

Huntsville City

1 : 2

Chattanooga

29 Aug

Chattanooga

5 : 2

Carolina Core

23 Aug

Crown Legacy

3 : 1

Chattanooga

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