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Toronto FC II vs Crown Legacy

USA USA

MLS Next Pro York Lions Stadium
Toronto FC II Logo

Toronto FC II

Sun, Apr 12, 2026
3 - 4
05:00 PM
Crown Legacy Logo

Crown Legacy

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Nolan J.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Berchimas N.
22' Event
Berchimas N.
Assist: Richmond N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Crown Legacy in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crown Legacy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Toronto FC II
17%
Draws
70%
Crown Legacy
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Crown Legacy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crown Legacy lately — more wins on the board than Toronto FC II.
  • Model gives Crown Legacy a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%
Crown Legacy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC II Crown Legacy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 0 0
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Crown Legacy
3:4
May 30, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Crown Legacy
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs Toronto FC II
1:4
Sep 24, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Crown Legacy
0:4
Aug 25, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy vs Toronto FC II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Nolan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bank F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Crown Legacy Compare

Top Goalscorer Berchimas N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC II 14 / 100
Crown Legacy 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC II Crown Legacy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Toronto FC II's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Crown Legacy has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Crown Legacy lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC II VS Crown Legacy
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 218130533:2936
2New York Red Bulls II18100839:2732
3New England Revolution II17110623:2032
4New York City II1690727:2328
5Philadelphia Union II1890921:2126
6CT United FC1790831:3125
7Toronto FC II18701127:3522
8FC Cincinnati 217501216:3114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy17120541:2534
2Orlando City B18110739:3233
3Chattanooga18120634:2933
4Atlanta United 21790838:2630
5Chicago Fire II1790827:2427
6Huntsville City17701029:3522
7Carolina Core19501422:3218
8Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 218110723:2234
2Ventura County18100832:2729
3Los Angeles FC 21790828:2829
4San Jose Earthquakes II1690737:1928
5Real Monarchs18100829:3126
6Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
7Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II17130436:1640
2Houston Dynamo 216130337:1437
3Minnesota United 219100928:3129
4St. Louis City 218100829:3029
5North Texas1670926:2122
6Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
7Colorado Rapids 218301516:3512
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 218130533:2936
2Crown Legacy17120541:2534
3Orlando City B18110739:3233
4Chattanooga18120634:2933
5New York Red Bulls II18100839:2732
6New England Revolution II17110623:2032
7Atlanta United 21790838:2630
8New York City II1690727:2328
9Chicago Fire II1790827:2427
10Philadelphia Union II1890921:2126
11CT United FC1790831:3125
12Toronto FC II18701127:3522
13Huntsville City17701029:3522
14Carolina Core19501422:3218
15FC Cincinnati 217501216:3114
16Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II17130436:1640
2Houston Dynamo 216130337:1437
3Portland Timbers 218110723:2234
4Minnesota United 219100928:3129
5Ventura County18100832:2729
6Los Angeles FC 21790828:2829
7St. Louis City 218100829:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1690737:1928
9Real Monarchs18100829:3126
10Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
11North Texas1670926:2122
12Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
13Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
14Colorado Rapids 218301516:3512