Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 York Lions Stadium

Toronto FC II

1 - 0

Crown Legacy

Our Tip

Match Events

42'

Subotic A.

46'

Sub

Forbes J. In: Moore D.

Out: Forbes J.

52'

Sub

Bartolovic L. In: Sing D.

Out: Bartolovic L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toronto FC II in this MLS Next Pro 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toronto FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Toronto FC II

17%

Draws

70%

Crown Legacy

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Crown Legacy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Crown Legacy have won more games recently than Toronto FC II.
Win probability leans Crown Legacy's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%

Crown Legacy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Toronto FC II	Crown Legacy
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	13	17
Draws	0	0
Losses	17	12
Goals Scored	1.5	2
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Toronto FC II vs Crown Legacy

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

3:4

May 30, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Toronto FC II vs Crown Legacy

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Oct 6, 2024 MLS Next Pro

Crown Legacy vs Toronto FC II

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

1:4

Sep 24, 2023 MLS Next Pro

Toronto FC II vs Crown Legacy

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

0:4

Aug 25, 2023 MLS Next Pro

Crown Legacy vs Toronto FC II

Possession: 43% - 40% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Sullivan M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Crown Legacy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC II 14 / 100

Crown Legacy 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Toronto FC II Crown Legacy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Toronto FC II scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Crown Legacy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Crown Legacy's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC II VS Crown Legacy

1.5 Goals Scored 2

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	19	9	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	20	8	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	19	9	54:37	54
4	Chicago Fire II	28	17	11	69:58	48
5	FC Cincinnati 2	28	16	12	40:41	41
6	Toronto FC II	28	12	16	34:42	38
7	New York City II	28	11	17	53:61	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	28	6	22	40:64	22

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Chattanooga	28	18	10	42:36	53
2	Huntsville City	28	18	10	56:32	52
3	Carolina Core	28	13	15	42:44	39
4	Atlanta United 2	28	11	17	44:43	38
5	Orlando City B	28	13	15	38:55	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	10	18	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	28	7	21	40:72	25

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	San Jose Earthquakes II	28	18	10	59:36	52
2	Real Monarchs	28	17	11	55:42	51
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	15	13	61:54	42
4	Ventura County	28	13	15	48:51	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	28	12	16	47:54	38
6	Tacoma Defiance	28	12	16	62:67	36
7	Los Angeles FC 2	28	11	17	47:61	33

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	22	6	60:37	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	28	16	12	55:40	51
3	Minnesota United 2	28	14	14	45:42	44
4	North Texas	28	15	13	46:56	43
5	Austin FC II	28	13	15	35:36	41
6	Houston Dynamo 2	28	13	15	40:47	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	28	5	23	30:67	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	19	9	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	20	8	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	19	9	54:37	54
4	Chattanooga	28	18	10	42:36	53
5	Huntsville City	28	18	10	56:32	52
6	Chicago Fire II	28	17	11	69:58	48
7	FC Cincinnati 2	28	16	12	40:41	41
8	Carolina Core	28	13	15	42:44	39
9	Toronto FC II	28	12	16	34:42	38
10	Atlanta United 2	28	11	17	44:43	38
11	Orlando City B	28	13	15	38:55	37
12	New York City II	28	11	17	53:61	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	10	18	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	28	7	21	40:72	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	28	6	22	40:64	22

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	22	6	60:37	62
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	28	18	10	59:36	52
3	Colorado Rapids 2	28	16	12	55:40	51
4	Real Monarchs	28	17	11	55:42	51
5	Minnesota United 2	28	14	14	45:42	44
6	North Texas	28	15	13	46:56	43
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	15	13	61:54	42
8	Ventura County	28	13	15	48:51	41
9	Austin FC II	28	13	15	35:36	41
10	Portland Timbers 2	28	12	16	47:54	38
11	Houston Dynamo 2	28	13	15	40:47	37
12	Tacoma Defiance	28	12	16	62:67	36
13	Los Angeles FC 2	28	11	17	47:61	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	28	5	23	30:67	17