Sport Picks
Toronto FC II vs CT United FC
USA
MLS Next Pro York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON 
Match Events
22'
22'
Dixon D.
Assist: Boneau B.
33'
33'
D’Ippolito D.
Assist: Tanyi B.
36'
36'
D’Ippolito D.
Assist: Monis A.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro game between Toronto FC II and CT United FC finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CT United FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CT United FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Toronto FC II carry the better recent record into this one.
- CT United FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and CT United FC have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%
CT United FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toronto FC II | CT United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 19 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs Toronto FC II
3:2
Jun 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs CT United FC
2:4
May 16, 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs Toronto FC II
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toronto FC II Compare
Top Goalscorer Dixon D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kerr K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
CT United FC Compare
Top Goalscorer D’Ippolito D.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toronto FC II 26 / 100
CT United FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toronto FC II CT United FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CT United FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 19 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.
Toronto FC II found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Toronto FC II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Toronto FC II VS CT United FC
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Toronto FC II
(Home) 25 Jul
Inter Miami II
2 : 1 Toronto FC II
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2 Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0 Toronto FC II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3 New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3 New England Revolution II
14 Jun
Toronto FC II
2 : 4 CT United FC
05 Jun
Toronto FC II
2 : 1 Huntsville City
29 May
Toronto FC II
2 : 1 Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 3
CT United FC
(Away) 26 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1 Columbus Crew 2
19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1 New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2 Toronto FC II
05 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 1 Carolina Core
26 Jun
CT United FC
1 : 4 New York City II
Page 1 of 4
14 Jun
Toronto FC II
2 : 4 CT United FC
08 Jun
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 1 CT United FC
31 May
Huntsville City
2 : 3 CT United FC
24 May
New York Red Bulls II
1 : 3 CT United FC
19 Apr
New York City II
2 : 1 CT United FC
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 36:31 | 39 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 36 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 35:33 | 31 |
| 5 | New York City II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:29 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 21:27 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 31:38 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 19:36 | 16 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 39:30 | 37 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 40:34 | 35 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 41:30 | 33 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 34:28 | 30 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 32:35 | 28 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 27:37 | 21 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16:46 | 8 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 26:23 | 40 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 37:27 | 35 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 31 |
| 4 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 25:27 | 30 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 37:23 | 28 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:36 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 26:45 | 19 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 41:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 40:16 | 42 |
| 3 | St. Louis City 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:33 | 30 |
| 4 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 29:23 | 26 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 18:39 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 47:27 | 40 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew 2 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 36:31 | 39 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 39:30 | 37 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 36 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 40:34 | 35 |
| 6 | Atlanta United 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 41:30 | 33 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 40:32 | 32 |
| 8 | CT United FC | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 35:33 | 31 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 34:28 | 30 |
| 10 | New York City II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:29 | 28 |
| 11 | Huntsville City | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 32:35 | 28 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 21:27 | 26 |
| 13 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 31:38 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 27:37 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 19:36 | 16 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16:46 | 8 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 41:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 40:16 | 42 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 26:23 | 40 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 37:27 | 35 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 31 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 25:27 | 30 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:33 | 30 |
| 8 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 37:23 | 28 |
| 10 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 29:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 31:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 26:45 | 19 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 18:39 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
