Sport Picks
Toronto FC II vs New York Red Bulls II
USA
MLS Next Pro York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON 
Match Events
33'
33'
Gjengaar D.
42'
42'
Fortier T.
46'
46'
Sub
Modelo A. In: Kone S.
Out: Modelo A.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro game between Toronto FC II and New York Red Bulls II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New York Red Bulls II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New York Red Bulls II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Toronto FC II haven't matched New York Red Bulls II's recent run of results.
- Model gives New York Red Bulls II a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
- New York Red Bulls II have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toronto FC II | New York Red Bulls II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Toronto FC II
5:0
May 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs New York Red Bulls II
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Toronto FC II
2:1
Jul 11, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs New York Red Bulls II
2:3
Sep 22, 2024 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Toronto FC II
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toronto FC II Compare
Top Goalscorer Kerr K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
New York Red Bulls II Compare
Top Goalscorer Worth N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rojas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toronto FC II 10 / 100
New York Red Bulls II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toronto FC II New York Red Bulls II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NYR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: New York Red Bulls II conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Toronto FC II's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Difficult form: New York Red Bulls II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Toronto FC II VS New York Red Bulls II
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Toronto FC II
(Home) 17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2 Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0 Toronto FC II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3 New England Revolution II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3 New England Revolution II
14 Jun
Toronto FC II
2 : 4 CT United FC
05 Jun
Toronto FC II
2 : 1 Huntsville City
29 May
Toronto FC II
2 : 1 Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 3
New York Red Bulls II
(Away) 19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1 New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
Chicago Fire II
3 : 0 New York Red Bulls II
05 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2 New York Red Bulls II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1 New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
Chicago Fire II
3 : 0 New York Red Bulls II
05 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2 New York Red Bulls II
14 Jun
New England Revolution II
2 : 1 New York Red Bulls II
06 Jun
Chattanooga
4 : 0 New York Red Bulls II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:20 | 32 |
| 4 | New York City II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 5 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 2 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 4 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:20 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 8 | New York City II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 9 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 6 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 11 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)