Sport Picks
Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II
USA
MLS Next Pro 2025 York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON 
Match Events
28'
28'
Fisher M.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Korzeniowski S.
Assist: Olney JR C.
64'
64'
Sub
Kapor S. In: Chisholm M.
Out: Kapor S.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro 2025 game between Toronto FC II and Philadelphia Union II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philadelphia Union II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Toronto FC II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Philadelphia Union II come out ahead of Toronto FC II on wins alone.
- Model gives Toronto FC II a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 13%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toronto FC II | Philadelphia Union II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 29, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II
2:1
Apr 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs Toronto FC II
1:0
Sep 26, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II
1:2
Aug 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs Toronto FC II
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toronto FC II Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Philadelphia Union II Compare
Top Goalscorer Korzeniowski S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Benitez O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toronto FC II 48 / 100
Philadelphia Union II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toronto FC II Philadelphia Union II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Philadelphia Union II has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Toronto FC II's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Philadelphia Union II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Toronto FC II VS Philadelphia Union II
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Toronto FC II
(Home) 25 Jul
Inter Miami II
2 : 1 Toronto FC II
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2 Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0 Toronto FC II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3 New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3 New England Revolution II
14 Jun
Toronto FC II
2 : 4 CT United FC
05 Jun
Toronto FC II
2 : 1 Huntsville City
29 May
Toronto FC II
2 : 1 Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 3
Philadelphia Union II
(Away) 25 Jul
Chattanooga
4 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
18 Jul
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
12 Jul
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0 Huntsville City
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4 Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Chattanooga
4 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
18 Jul
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4 Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
21 Jun
Orlando City B
1 : 2 Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 68:56 | 58 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 64:34 | 58 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 69:58 | 48 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 40:41 | 41 |
| 6 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 34:42 | 38 |
| 7 | New York City II | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 53:61 | 35 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 40:64 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chattanooga | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 42:36 | 53 |
| 2 | Huntsville City | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 56:32 | 52 |
| 3 | Carolina Core | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 44:43 | 38 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 38:55 | 37 |
| 6 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 45:54 | 32 |
| 7 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 40:72 | 25 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 59:36 | 52 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 55:42 | 51 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 61:54 | 42 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:51 | 41 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 47:54 | 38 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 62:67 | 36 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 47:61 | 33 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 60:37 | 62 |
| 2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 55:40 | 51 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 45:42 | 44 |
| 4 | North Texas | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 46:56 | 43 |
| 5 | Austin FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 35:36 | 41 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 40:47 | 37 |
| 7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 30:67 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 68:56 | 58 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 64:34 | 58 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Chattanooga | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 42:36 | 53 |
| 5 | Huntsville City | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 56:32 | 52 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 69:58 | 48 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 40:41 | 41 |
| 8 | Carolina Core | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 9 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 34:42 | 38 |
| 10 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 44:43 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando City B | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 38:55 | 37 |
| 12 | New York City II | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 53:61 | 35 |
| 13 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 45:54 | 32 |
| 14 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 40:72 | 25 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 40:64 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 60:37 | 62 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 59:36 | 52 |
| 3 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 55:40 | 51 |
| 4 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 55:42 | 51 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 45:42 | 44 |
| 6 | North Texas | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 46:56 | 43 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 61:54 | 42 |
| 8 | Ventura County | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:51 | 41 |
| 9 | Austin FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 35:36 | 41 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 47:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 40:47 | 37 |
| 12 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 62:67 | 36 |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 47:61 | 33 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 30:67 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
