Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toronto FC vs Austin FC

USA USA

MLS BMO Field
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Dubersarsky N.
29' Event
Bell J.
43'
Edwards R.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Toronto FC and Austin FC finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Toronto FC
30%
Draws
34%
Austin FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Toronto FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Toronto FC demonstrates higher offensive output (1.63 avg goals) than Austin FC (1.5 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Toronto FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 10%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC Austin FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 13 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 MLS
Toronto FC vs Austin FC
3:3
Sep 14, 2024 MLS
Toronto FC vs Austin FC
2:1
May 21, 2023 MLS
Austin FC vs Toronto FC
1:0
Feb 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Toronto FC vs Austin FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Salloi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Laryea R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Austin FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bell J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC 34 / 100
Austin FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC Austin FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Austin FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Toronto FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Austin FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC VS Austin FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307