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Toronto FC vs Fredrikstad

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Skogvold H.

AI Match Summary

Fredrikstad in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fredrikstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Toronto FC
30%
Draws
34%
Fredrikstad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Toronto FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Toronto FC haven't matched Fredrikstad's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Toronto FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 16%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC Fredrikstad
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Toronto FC vs Fredrikstad
0:1
Jan 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Fredrikstad vs Toronto FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toronto FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Fredrikstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Skogvold H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC 36 / 100
Fredrikstad 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC Fredrikstad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Fredrikstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Fredrikstad lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC VS Fredrikstad
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%