Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toronto FC vs Incheon

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Toronto FC and Incheon finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toronto FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Toronto FC
17%
Draws
70%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Incheon come out ahead of Toronto FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Incheon's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 16%
Incheon Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toronto FC Incheon
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Toronto FC vs Incheon
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toronto FC 15 / 100
Incheon 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toronto FC Incheon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Incheon conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Incheon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Toronto FC VS Incheon
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%