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Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Rustavi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Stadion Ramaz Shengelia
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torpedo Kutaisi play FC Rustavi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Torpedo Kutaisi averaged 1.69 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. FC Rustavi averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Torpedo Kutaisi won 2, FC Rustavi won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 5, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.31 for FC Rustavi. This points to a Torpedo Kutaisi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Torpedo Kutaisi
24%
Draws
35%
FC Rustavi
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Torpedo Kutaisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Torpedo Kutaisi picked up more points recently compared to FC Rustavi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 18%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Kutaisi FC Rustavi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.69 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Rustavi
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1:0
Oct 12, 2022 Georgian Cup
FC Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2:4
Oct 27, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2:0
Sep 25, 2019 Georgian Cup
FC Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torpedo Kutaisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Andric K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Rustavi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kutateladze N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Kutaisi 41 / 100
FC Rustavi 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Kutaisi FC Rustavi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Torpedo Kutaisi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Torpedo Kutaisi attacking → ← attacking FC Rustavi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Kutaisi scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

FC Rustavi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Torpedo Kutaisi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Rustavi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 46
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411