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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Stadion Ramaz Shengelia, Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi Logo

Torpedo Kutaisi

3 - 2
FT
Samgurali Logo

Samgurali

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Siradze I.
Assist: Gegetchkori L.
22' Event
Arabidze G.
26' Event
Andric K.
Assist: Arabidze G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Torpedo Kutaisi and Samgurali finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torpedo Kutaisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Torpedo Kutaisi
30%
Draws
12%
Samgurali
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torpedo Kutaisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Samgurali haven't matched Torpedo Kutaisi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Torpedo Kutaisi a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Torpedo Kutaisi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 13%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Kutaisi Samgurali
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.8 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali
3:2
Jun 13, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2:1
Apr 21, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali
6:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torpedo Kutaisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Arabidze G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andric K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Samgurali Compare

Top Goalscorer Siradze I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patarkatsishvili O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Kutaisi 39 / 100
Samgurali 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Kutaisi Samgurali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torpedo Kutaisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Torpedo Kutaisi scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Samgurali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Torpedo Kutaisi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Torpedo Kutaisi VS Samgurali
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Torpedo Kutaisi

(Home)
20 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 2
Torpedo Kutaisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 6

Samgurali

(Away)
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3
Dila Gori
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)