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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Spaeri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Stadion Ramaz Shengelia, Kutaisi
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Samkharadze G.
45'
Simic M.
76'
Sub
Cherif M. In: Kuprava L.
Out: Cherif M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Torpedo Kutaisi
35%
Draws
19%
Spaeri
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torpedo Kutaisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Torpedo Kutaisi have won more games recently than Spaeri.
  • Win probability leans Torpedo Kutaisi's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 16%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Kutaisi Spaeri
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Spaeri
0:0
May 1, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Spaeri
1:2
Jun 27, 2025 Super Cup
Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1:0
Sep 7, 2023 Georgian Cup
Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Kutaisi 66 / 100
Spaeri 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Kutaisi Spaeri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torpedo Kutaisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Spaeri conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Torpedo Kutaisi scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Torpedo Kutaisi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torpedo Kutaisi VS Spaeri
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Torpedo Kutaisi

(Home)
20 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 2
Torpedo Kutaisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 6

Spaeri

(Away)
21 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 4
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
30 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 0
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)