Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Torpedo Moscow vs Rodina Moscow

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Arena Khimki, Khimki
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Moskvichev V.
16' Event
Meshchaninov A.
32'
Kashtanov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2025/2026 game between Torpedo Moscow and Rodina Moscow finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodina Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Torpedo Moscow
6%
Draws
4%
Rodina Moscow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Torpedo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torpedo Moscow come out ahead of Rodina Moscow on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Torpedo Moscow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torpedo Moscow Rodina Moscow
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
0:2
Aug 29, 2025 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs Torpedo Moscow
3:0
Mar 22, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs Torpedo Moscow
1:1
Nov 20, 2023 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torpedo Moscow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rodina Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Meshchaninov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maksimenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torpedo Moscow 95 / 100
Rodina Moscow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torpedo Moscow Rodina Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Moscow found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Torpedo Moscow stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Rodina Moscow conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Torpedo Moscow VS Rodina Moscow
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Torpedo Moscow

(Home)
26 Jul
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
19 Jul
Torpedo Moscow
3 : 1
Ulyanovsk
13 Jul
Ural
0 : 1
Torpedo Moscow
03 Jul
PFC Sochi
0 : 3
Torpedo Moscow
27 Jun
Dynamo Moscow
0 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
Page 1 of 6

Rodina Moscow

(Away)
25 Jul
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow
02 Jul
Rodina Moscow
0 : 5
Akron Togliatti
27 Jun
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 0
Rodina Moscow
16 May
Arsenal Tula
1 : 4
Rodina Moscow
08 May
Rodina Moscow
2 : 0
Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
5Kamaz341213946:3449
6Yenisey3413101137:3549
7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
12SKA Khabarovsk3410121237:4542
13Arsenal Tula348151142:4439
14Ulyanovsk349101535:4837
15Ufa349101532:4037
16Chernomorets Novorossijsk34981737:4935
17Saratov345111816:4426
18FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye34572230:7622
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)