Sport Picks
Torquay vs Chelmsford
England
National League South 2025/2026 Plainmoor, Torquay 
Match Events
8'
8'
Adams C.
38'
38'
Murphy J.
62'
62'
Taylor L.
AI Match Summary
The National League South 2025/2026 game between Torquay and Chelmsford finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelmsford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Torquay come out ahead of Chelmsford on wins alone.
- Torquay are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Torquay Clean Sheet 20%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Torquay | Chelmsford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Chelmsford
0:5
Nov 29, 2025 National League South
Chelmsford vs Torquay
0:2
Feb 22, 2025 National League South
Chelmsford vs Torquay
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 National League South
Torquay vs Chelmsford
2:2
Dec 23, 2023 National League South
Chelmsford vs Torquay
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Torquay Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Chelmsford Compare
Top Goalscorer Adams C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Murphy J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Torquay 36 / 100
Chelmsford 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Torquay Chelmsford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Torquay scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Chelmsford conceded in 65% of 26 recent games.
Torquay went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Torquay VS Chelmsford
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Torquay
(Home) 22 Aug
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0 Torquay
18 Aug
Torquay
0 : 0 Weston-super-Mare
15 Aug
Tonbridge
1 : 2 Torquay
08 Aug
Torquay
1 : 1 Horsham FC
31 Jul
Torquay
2 : 1 Exeter
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Torquay
0 : 0 Weston-super-Mare
08 Aug
Torquay
1 : 1 Horsham FC
31 Jul
Torquay
2 : 1 Exeter
25 Jul
Torquay
5 : 0 Cardiff U21
21 Jul
Torquay
0 : 1 Plymouth
Page 1 of 3
Chelmsford
(Away) 22 Aug
Folkestone
1 : 1 Chelmsford
15 Aug
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Truro
08 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Chelmsford
14 Jul
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
11 Jul
Stortford
1 : 3 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Folkestone
1 : 1 Chelmsford
08 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Chelmsford
14 Jul
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
11 Jul
Stortford
1 : 3 Chelmsford
18 Apr
Chesham
0 : 2 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
