Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers

England England

National League South 2025/2026 Plainmoor, Torquay
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Moore D.
31' Event
Young J.
59' Event
Moore D.

AI Match Summary

Torquay in this National League South 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Torquay
35%
Draws
34%
Dorking Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Torquay have won more games recently than Dorking Wanderers.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Torquay taking it.
  • Torquay have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Torquay, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Torquay Clean Sheet 17%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torquay Dorking Wanderers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers
2:2
May 2, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers
4:2
Mar 24, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Torquay
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Torquay
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torquay Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Young J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Knight G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rutherford A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torquay 36 / 100
Dorking Wanderers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torquay Dorking Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorking Wanderers let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Torquay scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Torquay remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torquay VS Dorking Wanderers
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Torquay

(Home)
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4
Torquay
05 Sept
Torquay
3 : 2
Folkestone
31 Aug
Farnham
2 : 0
Torquay
29 Aug
Torquay
1 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
Page 1 of 6

Dorking Wanderers

(Away)
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Chelmsford
05 Sept
Billericay
3 : 3
Dorking Wanderers
31 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0
Truro
29 Aug
Walton & Hersham
1 : 4
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Hornchurch -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Torquay -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers 2
Maidenhead 0
Semi-finals
Hornchurch 2
Weston-super-Mare 0
Torquay 4
Dorking Wanderers 2
Final
Hornchurch 3
Torquay 2