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Torquay vs Exeter

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torquay host Exeter in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Torquay have averaged 2.5 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Exeter's 1.5 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Torquay slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.50) back Torquay to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Torquay
28%
Draws
22%
Exeter
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Torquay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torquay come out ahead of Exeter on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Torquay taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Torquay Clean Sheet 16%
Exeter Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torquay Exeter
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Torquay vs Exeter
1:1
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Torquay vs Exeter
2:2
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Torquay vs Exeter
4:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Torquay vs Exeter
1:0
Jul 27, 2019 Club Friendly
Torquay vs Exeter
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torquay 48 / 100
Exeter 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torquay Exeter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Torquay scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Exeter let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Torquay stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torquay VS Exeter
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torquay

(Home)
25 Jul
Torquay
5 : 0
Cardiff U21
21 Jul
Torquay
0 : 1
Plymouth
18 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 2
Torquay
14 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 0
Torquay
09 May
Hornchurch
3 : 2
Torquay
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Exeter

(Away)
25 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 2
Exeter
18 Jul
Truro
1 : 0
Exeter
02 May
Exeter
1 : 2
Bradford City
25 Apr
Burton
1 : 1
Exeter
18 Apr
Exeter
3 : 3
Stockport County
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