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Torre del Mar vs CD Alhaurino

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Torre del Mar Logo

Torre del Mar

1 - 0
FT
CD Alhaurino Logo

CD Alhaurino

Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Pekes
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Torre del Mar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torre del Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Torre del Mar
30%
Draws
37%
CD Alhaurino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Alhaurino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • CD Alhaurino haven't matched Torre del Mar's recent run of results.
  • Torre del Mar are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Torre del Mar have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 68%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torre del Mar CD Alhaurino
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 13 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.06 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs CD Alhaurino
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Torre del Mar
1:1
Feb 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs CD Alhaurino
2:1
Oct 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Torre del Mar
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torre del Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Pekes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

CD Alhaurino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torre del Mar 59 / 100
CD Alhaurino 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torre del Mar CD Alhaurino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torre del Mar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torre del Mar's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

CD Alhaurino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Torre del Mar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torre del Mar VS CD Alhaurino
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Torre del Mar

(Home)
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
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CD Alhaurino

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
03 May
Arenas Armilla
0 : 1
CD Alhaurino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)