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Torre del Mar vs Marbelli

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Torre del Mar
20%
Draws
47%
Marbelli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marbelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Marbelli have won more games recently than Torre del Mar.
  • Torre del Mar are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 68%
Marbelli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torre del Mar Marbelli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Marbelli
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Torre del Mar
1:2
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Marbelli
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Torre del Mar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torre del Mar 46 / 100
Marbelli 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torre del Mar Marbelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torre del Mar's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Marbelli has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Torre del Mar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torre del Mar VS Marbelli
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Torre del Mar

(Home)
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
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Marbelli

(Away)
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
10 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 2
Marbelli
03 May
Marbelli
0 : 1
Granada CF B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)