Sport Picks
Torre del Mar vs Motril - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 
Match Events
44'
44'
Acuna J.
48'
48'
Samed I.
48'
48'
Samed I.
AI Match Summary
Torre del Mar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torre del Mar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Motril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Motril lately — more wins on the board than Torre del Mar.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 20%
Motril Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Torre del Mar | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Torre del Mar
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Motril
2:1
Jan 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Torre del Mar
0:4
May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Torre del Mar
0:0
May 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Motril
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Torre del Mar Compare
Top Goalscorer Acuna J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Owusu W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Motril Compare
Top Goalscorer Pato
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Torre del Mar 32 / 100
Motril 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Torre del Mar Motril
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Torre del Mar scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Motril has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Torre del Mar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Torre del Mar VS Motril
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Torre del Mar
(Home) 04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 Melilla
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0 Marbella
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 3
Motril
(Away) 04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3 Motril
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3 Motril
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Motril
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1 Motril
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
