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Torreense U19 vs Tondela U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Silva M.
88' Event
Gouveia Rodrigues Cruz G.
90'
Viegas T.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Torreense U19 and Tondela U19 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torreense U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Torreense U19
20%
Draws
40%
Tondela U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Torreense U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Torreense U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Torreense U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Tondela U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torreense U19 Tondela U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Torreense U19 vs Tondela U19
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Torreense U19
3:1
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Torreense U19
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Torreense U19 vs Tondela U19
2:1
May 4, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Torreense U19 vs Tondela U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torreense U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gouveia Rodrigues Cruz G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tondela U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torreense U19 36 / 100
Tondela U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torreense U19 Tondela U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torreense U19 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Tondela U19 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Tondela U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torreense U19 VS Tondela U19
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torreense U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Casa Pia U19
2 : 3
Torreense U19
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2
Sporting CP U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2
Torreense U19
15 Aug
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Mafra U19
08 Aug
SC Farense U19
0 : 0
Torreense U19
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Tondela U19

(Away)
25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0
Tondela U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1
Belenenses U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0
Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Tondela U19
07 Mar
Tondela U19
0 : 1
Academico Viseu U19
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