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Torreense vs AD Merida

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pozo M.
31' Event
N'Tamon E.
60' Event
Beneit R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Torreense and AD Merida finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torreense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Torreense
20%
Draws
22%
AD Merida
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torreense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Torreense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Torreense a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Torreense Clean Sheet 68%
AD Merida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torreense AD Merida
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Torreense vs AD Merida
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torreense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pozo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader N'Tamon E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

AD Merida Compare

Top Goalscorer Beneit R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torreense 68 / 100
AD Merida 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torreense AD Merida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torreense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torreense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

AD Merida let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Torreense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Torreense VS AD Merida
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torreense

(Home)
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
29 Aug
Torreense
0 : 3
Vizela
22 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 2
Torreense
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AD Merida

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 5
UD Logrones
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0
AD Merida
12 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 4
Mirandes
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
29 Aug
AD Merida
1 : 0
Deportivo Fabril
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