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Torreense vs Cova De Piedade - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Medina Y.
Own Goal
49' Event
Zacarias V.
90' Event
Balde U.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2021/2022 game between Torreense and Cova De Piedade finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torreense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Torreense
35%
Draws
32%
Cova De Piedade
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torreense come out ahead of Cova De Piedade on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Torreense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Torreense Clean Sheet 20%
Cova De Piedade Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torreense Cova De Piedade
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Liga 3
Torreense vs Cova De Piedade
2:1
Nov 28, 2021 Liga 3
Cova De Piedade vs Torreense
0:1
Sep 6, 2015 Taça de Portugal
Cova De Piedade vs Torreense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Torreense Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Cova De Piedade Compare

Top Goalscorer Zacarias V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torreense 32 / 100
Cova De Piedade 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torreense Cova De Piedade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cova De Piedade conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Torreense scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Torreense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Torreense VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Torreense

(Home)
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
29 Aug
Torreense
0 : 3
Vizela
22 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 2
Torreense
Page 1 of 6

Cova De Piedade

(Away)
01 May
Cova De Piedade
0 : 1
Amora
23 Apr
Santarem
1 : 1
Cova De Piedade
17 Apr
Cova De Piedade
1 : 1
Caldas SC
09 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Cova De Piedade
03 Apr
Cova De Piedade
2 : 0
Santarem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Felgueiras 22 12 3 7 25:19 39
2 Oliveirense 22 11 5 6 39:31 38
3 Braga B 22 10 7 5 37:29 37
4 Vitoria Guimaraes B 22 11 3 8 33:25 36
5 Canelas 2010 22 10 6 6 28:25 36
6 Sanjoanense 22 10 4 8 36:27 34
7 Lusitania FC 22 10 4 8 31:29 34
8 Sao Joao de Ver 22 6 11 5 27:22 29
9 Anadia 22 9 2 11 24:28 29
10 CDC Montalegre 22 6 6 10 25:33 24
11 AD Fafe 22 6 5 11 28:41 23
12 Pevidem 22 1 4 17 14:38 7
Promotion - Liga 3 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leiria 22 14 6 2 41:18 48
2 Alverca 22 13 2 7 32:24 41
3 Torreense 22 13 2 7 29:23 41
4 Vitoria Setubal 22 11 4 7 30:24 37
5 Amora 22 11 3 8 29:21 36
6 Real SC 22 7 7 8 23:26 28
7 Caldas SC 22 7 6 9 21:24 27
8 Sporting CP B 22 7 5 10 25:28 26
9 Cova De Piedade 22 6 4 12 24:35 22
10 Oliveira Hospital 22 3 11 8 24:34 20
11 Santarem 22 4 6 12 23:35 18
12 Oriental Dragon 22 2 12 8 21:30 18
Promotion - Liga 3 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)