Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Drammeh M.
Assist: Quintero L.
20'
20'
Simao I.
21'
21'
Vazquez J.
AI Match Summary
Torreense in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torreense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penafiel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Penafiel haven't matched Torreense's recent run of results.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Penafiel taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Torreense Clean Sheet 22%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Torreense | Penafiel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Torreense vs Penafiel
2:2
May 4, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Torreense vs Penafiel
3:2
Dec 21, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Torreense
1:0
May 5, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Torreense
0:1
Dec 22, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Torreense vs Penafiel
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Torreense Compare
Top Goalscorer Drammeh M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vazquez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Penafiel Compare
Top Goalscorer Sery J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mere J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Torreense 10 / 100
Penafiel 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Torreense Penafiel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penafiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Torreense's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Penafiel let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Torreense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Torreense VS Penafiel
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Torreense
(Home) 17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2 Torreense
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0 Leixoes
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2 Torreense
29 Aug
Torreense
0 : 3 Vizela
22 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 2 Torreense
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0 Leixoes
29 Aug
Torreense
0 : 3 Vizela
15 Aug
Torreense
2 : 2 Penafiel
15 Jul
Torreense
5 : 0 Academica
20 May
Torreense
0 : 0 Casa Pia
Page 1 of 3
Penafiel
(Away) 19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Penafiel
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2 Penafiel
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1 Academica
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3 Penafiel
23 Aug
Penafiel
2 : 0 Sporting CP B
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Penafiel
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2 Penafiel
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3 Penafiel
15 Aug
Torreense
2 : 2 Penafiel
18 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 0 Penafiel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
