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Torreense vs Penafiel

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torreense host Penafiel in the Liga Portugal 2. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Penafiel have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Torreense have conceded 0.88 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor Torreense slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.06 - 0.69) back Torreense to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Torreense
30%
Draws
12%
Penafiel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torreense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Very High Confidence
  • Penafiel haven't matched Torreense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Torreense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Torreense Clean Sheet 20%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Torreense Penafiel
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 17 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Torreense vs Penafiel
3:2
Dec 21, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Torreense
1:0
May 5, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Torreense
0:1
Dec 22, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Torreense vs Penafiel
0:1
May 16, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Torreense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torreense 85 / 100
Penafiel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Torreense Penafiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torreense found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (34 games).

Penafiel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Torreense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Torreense VS Penafiel
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Torreense

(Home)
01 Aug
FC Porto
1 : 0
Torreense
25 Jul
Estoril
0 : 0
Torreense
18 Jul
Benfica B
1 : 1
Torreense
15 Jul
Torreense
5 : 0
Academica
28 May
Casa Pia
2 : 0
Torreense
Page 1 of 7

Penafiel

(Away)
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Braga B
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Gil Vicente
24 Jul
Penafiel
0 : 2
Leganes
18 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 0
Penafiel
18 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
5 : 0
Penafiel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Leixoes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Feirense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Penafiel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Portimonense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Vizela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Chaves 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Torreense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Leiria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Tondela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Amarante FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Lusitania FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 SC Farense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 FC Felgueiras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 FC Porto B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sporting CP B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Benfica B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 AFS 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)