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Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024

Huracan de Balazote

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Torrijos play Huracan de Balazote in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Torrijos averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Huracan de Balazote averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Torrijos won 1, Huracan de Balazote won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 27, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Torrijos and 1.18 for Huracan de Balazote. This points to a Huracan de Balazote double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Torrijos

34%

Draws

37%

Huracan de Balazote

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Huracan de Balazote

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Torrijos picked up more points recently compared to Huracan de Balazote.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Torrijos Clean Sheet 20%

Huracan de Balazote Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Torrijos	Huracan de Balazote
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	10
Draws	11	6
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	0.7	0.81
Goals Conceded	1.37	1.28

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Huracan de Balazote vs Torrijos

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Torrijos vs Huracan de Balazote

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Feb 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Torrijos vs Huracan de Balazote

Possession: 42% - 60% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Oct 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Huracan de Balazote vs Torrijos

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Torrijos 30 / 100

Huracan de Balazote 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Torrijos Huracan de Balazote

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Huracan de Balazote or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Torrijos attacking → ← attacking Huracan de Balazote

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torrijos scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Huracan de Balazote let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Torrijos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Huracan de Balazote lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 36

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Conquense	34	21	10	3	57:18	73
2	Cazalegas	34	17	8	9	48:35	59
3	Toledo	34	16	10	8	47:25	58
4	Socuellamos	34	15	13	6	48:28	58
5	Quintanar del Rey	34	16	9	9	46:29	57
6	Puertollano C.F.	34	15	11	8	48:33	56
7	Villarrubia	34	15	10	9	36:31	55
8	CD Tarancon	34	11	14	9	38:31	47
9	Albacete B	34	12	10	12	47:49	46
10	Azuqueca	34	10	11	13	40:46	41
11	Villacanas	34	10	11	13	34:36	41
12	Villarrobledo	34	10	11	13	28:37	41
13	Marchamalo	34	10	9	15	27:38	39
14	Huracan de Balazote	34	8	15	11	35:47	39
15	La Solana	34	10	9	15	34:39	39
16	Torrijos	34	5	13	16	23:45	28
17	Tomelloso	34	5	11	18	24:55	26
18	San Clemente	34	4	7	23	28:66	19