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Tortoli vs Aprilia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2017/2018
Tortoli Logo

Tortoli

4 - 3
FT
Aprilia Logo

Aprilia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tortoli in this Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tortoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tortoli
20%
Draws
50%
Aprilia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aprilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Aprilia have won more games recently than Tortoli.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Aprilia taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Tortoli Clean Sheet 19%
Aprilia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tortoli Aprilia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Tortoli vs Aprilia
4:3
Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs Tortoli
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tortoli 12 / 100
Aprilia 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tortoli Aprilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aprilia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tortoli scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Aprilia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Tortoli stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aprilia
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tortoli

(Home)
06 May
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Tortoli
29 Apr
Tortoli
1 : 4
Monterosi
22 Apr
Lanusei Calcio
2 : 0
Tortoli
14 Apr
Tortoli
4 : 3
Aprilia
08 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
1 : 0
Tortoli
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Aprilia

(Away)
07 May
Vis Artena
2 : 2
Aprilia
30 Apr
Aprilia
4 : 1
Casertana
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
06 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 2
Aprilia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rieti 34 22 9 3 76:29 75
2 Albalonga 34 20 10 4 60:28 70
3 SFF Atletico (Inactive) 34 19 9 6 73:37 66
4 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 60:43 62
5 Latina 34 17 10 7 55:42 61
6 Aprilia 34 14 12 8 52:42 54
7 Cassino 34 15 7 12 50:48 52
8 Lupa Roma 34 12 10 12 47:49 44
9 Monterosi 34 12 8 14 47:42 44
10 Budoni Calcio 34 13 4 17 40:41 43
11 Ostiamare 34 11 9 14 47:56 42
12 Flaminia 34 11 8 15 42:48 41
13 Latte Dolce 34 10 10 14 39:45 40
14 Lanusei Calcio 34 11 4 19 41:55 37
15 Nuorese 34 9 8 17 28:46 35
16 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 7 7 20 28:68 28
17 Tortoli 34 7 5 22 36:65 26
18 San Teodoro 34 5 8 21 47:84 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 (Play Offs)