Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TOSK Tesanj vs BFK Simm Bau

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 Stadion Luke, Tesanj
Sun, May 11, 2025
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TOSK Tesanj host BFK Simm Bau in the Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025. TOSK Tesanj go into this one as the clear favorite. BFK Simm Bau have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while TOSK Tesanj have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.41. Past meetings favor TOSK Tesanj slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 11, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back TOSK Tesanj to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
TOSK Tesanj
25%
Draws
35%
BFK Simm Bau
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: TOSK Tesanj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TOSK Tesanj lately — more wins on the board than BFK Simm Bau.
  • Win probability leans TOSK Tesanj's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
TOSK Tesanj Clean Sheet 20%
BFK Simm Bau Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOSK Tesanj BFK Simm Bau
Matches Played 34 10
Wins 14 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.41 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs BFK Simm Bau
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
BFK Simm Bau vs TOSK Tesanj
0:0
May 26, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
BFK Simm Bau vs TOSK Tesanj
0:1
Nov 5, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs BFK Simm Bau
1:2
May 20, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
BFK Simm Bau vs TOSK Tesanj
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOSK Tesanj 40 / 100
BFK Simm Bau 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOSK Tesanj BFK Simm Bau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOSK Tesanj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOSK Tesanj found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Recent resilience: TOSK Tesanj stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

TOSK Tesanj VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TOSK Tesanj

(Home)
03 Oct
Bratstvo Gracanica
1 : 3
TOSK Tesanj
27 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
2 : 0
Stupcanica
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Bihac
0 : 1
TOSK Tesanj
13 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
1 : 2
Travnik
05 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
4 : 2
TOSK Tesanj
Page 1 of 7

BFK Simm Bau

(Away)

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stupcanica 28 16 6 6 50:29 54
2 Bratstvo Gracanica 28 15 1 12 38:38 46
3 Celik Zenica 28 13 6 9 40:29 45
4 Hadzici 28 12 9 7 41:31 45
5 Banovici 28 12 7 9 42:33 43
6 Travnik 28 11 9 8 37:30 42
7 Tuzla City 28 12 6 10 33:33 42
8 Tomislav 28 11 8 9 38:28 41
9 TOSK Tesanj 28 11 7 10 41:38 40
10 Jedinstvo Bihac 28 10 9 9 32:32 39
11 Gradina Srebrenik 28 10 7 11 35:36 37
12 Gorazde 28 8 11 9 32:35 35
13 Gradacac 28 10 3 15 43:40 33
14 Gornji Rahic 28 8 7 13 43:56 31
15 Radnicki Lukavac 28 1 4 23 23:80 7
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