Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TOSK Tesanj vs NK Vitez

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TOSK Tesanj play NK Vitez in the Prva Liga - FBiH. It looks like a close match. Recently, TOSK Tesanj averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. NK Vitez averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, TOSK Tesanj won 3, NK Vitez won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for TOSK Tesanj and 0.81 for NK Vitez. This points to a TOSK Tesanj double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
TOSK Tesanj
28%
Draws
22%
NK Vitez
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: TOSK Tesanj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • TOSK Tesanj has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to NK Vitez.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for TOSK Tesanj.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Prva Liga - FBiH provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
TOSK Tesanj Clean Sheet 68%
NK Vitez Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOSK Tesanj NK Vitez
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs NK Vitez
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
NK Vitez vs TOSK Tesanj
2:1
Apr 28, 2019 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs NK Vitez
2:0
Oct 6, 2018 Prva Liga - FBiH
NK Vitez vs TOSK Tesanj
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOSK Tesanj Compare

Top Goalscorer Mujkic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

NK Vitez Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOSK Tesanj 59 / 100
NK Vitez 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOSK Tesanj NK Vitez

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOSK Tesanj scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

NK Vitez let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

TOSK Tesanj went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

NK Vitez lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TOSK Tesanj VS NK Vitez
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Celik Zenica26178152:1959
2Stupcanica26125940:2741
3Sloboda Tuzla26125934:2941
4Jedinstvo Bihac26125929:3641
5NK GOSK Gabela26117836:2640
6Travnik26107935:2637
7TOSK Tesanj26107935:3037
8Hadzici261061034:3736
9Tomislav26881038:3532
10Igman Konjic26951229:4432
11Banovici26871131:3331
12Bratstvo Gracanica26710926:2831
13NK Vitez26841427:3828
14Tuzla City26521920:5817