Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TOSK Tesanj vs NK Vitez

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Mujkic A.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Liga - FBiH 2025/2026 game between TOSK Tesanj and NK Vitez finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TOSK Tesanj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
TOSK Tesanj
20%
Draws
32%
NK Vitez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TOSK Tesanj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • TOSK Tesanj carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives TOSK Tesanj a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and TOSK Tesanj have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
TOSK Tesanj Clean Sheet 68%
NK Vitez Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOSK Tesanj NK Vitez
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs NK Vitez
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
NK Vitez vs TOSK Tesanj
2:1
Apr 28, 2019 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs NK Vitez
2:0
Oct 6, 2018 Prva Liga - FBiH
NK Vitez vs TOSK Tesanj
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOSK Tesanj Compare

Top Goalscorer Mujkic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

NK Vitez Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOSK Tesanj 51 / 100
NK Vitez 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOSK Tesanj NK Vitez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TOSK Tesanj scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

NK Vitez has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

NK Vitez's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

TOSK Tesanj VS NK Vitez
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TOSK Tesanj

(Home)
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Bihac
0 : 1
TOSK Tesanj
13 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
1 : 2
Travnik
05 Sept
Sloboda Tuzla
4 : 2
TOSK Tesanj
30 Aug
TOSK Tesanj
0 : 1
NK GOSK Gabela
22 Aug
Hadzici
2 : 0
TOSK Tesanj
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NK Vitez

(Away)
19 Sept
Igman Konjic
1 : 0
NK Vitez
12 Sept
NK Vitez
2 : 2
Bratstvo Gracanica
06 Sept
Stupcanica
3 : 1
NK Vitez
29 Aug
NK Vitez
1 : 1
Jedinstvo Bihac
23 Aug
Travnik
2 : 0
NK Vitez
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celik Zenica 26 17 8 1 52:19 59
2 Stupcanica 26 12 5 9 40:27 41
3 Sloboda Tuzla 26 12 5 9 34:29 41
4 Jedinstvo Bihac 26 12 5 9 29:36 41
5 NK GOSK Gabela 26 11 7 8 36:26 40
6 Travnik 26 10 7 9 35:26 37
7 TOSK Tesanj 26 10 7 9 35:30 37
8 Hadzici 26 10 6 10 34:37 36
9 Tomislav 26 8 8 10 38:35 32
10 Igman Konjic 26 9 5 12 29:44 32
11 Banovici 26 8 7 11 31:33 31
12 Bratstvo Gracanica 26 7 10 9 26:28 31
13 NK Vitez 26 8 4 14 27:38 28
14 Tuzla City 26 5 2 19 20:58 17
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