Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tottenham U21 vs Middlesbrough U21

England England

Premier League 2 2025/2026 SPORTA Arena, Stevenage
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Black L.
42' Event
Campbell L.
Assist: Coulson F.
59' Event
Daley J.
Assist: Coulson F.

AI Match Summary

Middlesbrough U21 in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Middlesbrough U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tottenham U21
15%
Draws
51%
Middlesbrough U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middlesbrough U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tottenham U21 have won more games recently than Middlesbrough U21.
  • Win probability leans Middlesbrough U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Tottenham U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tottenham U21 Middlesbrough U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.9 2
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 1.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Premier League 2
Tottenham U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
1:3
Nov 29, 2024 Premier League 2
Tottenham U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
6:1
Mar 17, 2024 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Tottenham U21
1:2
Apr 6, 2016 Premier League U21
Tottenham U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
1:2
Nov 30, 2015 Premier League U21
Middlesbrough U21 vs Tottenham U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tottenham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowswell J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52

Middlesbrough U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daley J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tottenham U21 10 / 100
Middlesbrough U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tottenham U21 Middlesbrough U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middlesbrough U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tottenham U21 scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Middlesbrough U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Tottenham U21 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tottenham U21 VS Middlesbrough U21
1.5 Goals Scored 2.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.57
63% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Tottenham U21

(Home)
24 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 3
Tottenham U21
04 Aug
Enfield Town
3 : 0
Tottenham U21
01 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 2
Tottenham U21
25 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 1
Tottenham U21
21 Jul
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Tottenham U21
Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough U21

(Away)
23 Aug
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Norwich U21
18 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10
Middlesbrough U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0
Middlesbrough U21
10 Apr
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 20 14 1 5 52:25 43
2 Manchester United U21 20 13 4 3 43:26 43
3 Manchester City U21 20 13 1 6 59:21 40
4 Fulham U21 20 11 5 4 48:32 38
5 Ipswich U21 20 12 2 6 45:45 38
6 Southampton U21 20 10 6 4 36:29 36
7 Liverpool U21 20 11 2 7 49:36 35
8 Tottenham U21 20 11 2 7 42:32 35
9 Leicester U21 20 9 4 7 48:42 31
10 Crystal Palace U21 20 9 4 7 36:31 31
11 Aston Villa U21 20 9 4 7 32:35 31
12 Brighton U21 20 8 6 6 38:25 30
13 West Ham U21 20 8 6 6 44:35 30
14 Arsenal U21 20 8 5 7 28:33 29
15 Sunderland U21 20 8 4 8 41:40 28
16 Middlesbrough U21 20 7 6 7 37:28 27
17 Nottingham U21 20 8 2 10 23:23 26
18 Everton U21 20 7 4 9 33:36 25
19 Reading U21 20 7 4 9 29:36 25
20 Stoke City U21 20 7 4 9 29:42 25
21 Newcastle Utd U21 20 6 6 8 30:35 24
22 Wolves U21 20 6 5 9 30:45 23
23 Norwich U21 20 5 5 10 32:42 20
24 Derby U21 20 5 5 10 26:44 20
25 Leeds U21 20 5 3 12 28:40 18
26 West Brom U21 20 5 3 12 26:41 18
27 Birmingham U21 20 4 5 11 26:52 17
28 Blackburn U21 20 4 2 14 27:46 14
29 Burnley U21 20 3 4 13 22:42 13
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)