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Tottenham W vs Birmingham W

England England

Women's League Cup 2025/2026 Brisbane Road, London
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Summanen E.
38'
Cooke S.
40' Event
Holdt O.
Assist: Vinberg M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Tottenham W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Tottenham W
30%
Draws
12%
Birmingham W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tottenham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Birmingham W haven't matched Tottenham W's recent run of results.
  • Tottenham W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tottenham W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tottenham W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tottenham W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tottenham W Clean Sheet 20%
Birmingham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tottenham W Birmingham W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Women's League Cup
Tottenham W vs Birmingham W
3:0
Feb 13, 2022 WSL
Birmingham W vs Tottenham W
0:2
Sep 4, 2021 WSL
Tottenham W vs Birmingham W
1:0
May 9, 2021 WSL
Birmingham W vs Tottenham W
0:1
Jan 10, 2021 WSL
Tottenham W vs Birmingham W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tottenham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Holdt O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nilden A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Birmingham W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tottenham W 85 / 100
Birmingham W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tottenham W Birmingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tottenham W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tottenham W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Birmingham W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Tottenham W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Birmingham W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tottenham W VS Birmingham W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tottenham W

(Home)
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0
Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Tottenham W
0 : 1
West Ham W
20 Sept
Crystal Palace W
0 : 7
Tottenham W
13 Sept
Liverpool W
1 : 1
Tottenham W
06 Sept
Tottenham W
3 : 1
West Ham W
Page 1 of 6

Birmingham W

(Away)
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3
Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
13 Sept
Birmingham W
2 : 2
Brighton W
06 Sept
Manchester City W
3 : 1
Birmingham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 3 3 0 0 8:4 8
2 Everton W 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
3 Nottingham W 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
4 Newcastle Utd W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool W 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Sheffield Utd W 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
3 Durham W 3 0 0 3 3:4 2
4 Sunderland W 3 1 0 2 1:7 2
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham W 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Charlton W 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Brighton W 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
4 Portsmouth W 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
5 Southampton FC W 4 1 0 3 2:10 3
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace W 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2 Leicester W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 London City Lionesses W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Ipswich W 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham W 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Aston Villa W 3 1 0 2 6:3 5
3 Birmingham W 3 2 0 1 5:8 4
4 Bristol City W 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)