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Toulon vs Ales

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Toulon Logo

Toulon

0 - 1
FT
Ales Logo

Ales

Our Tip

Match Events

75'
Moutault E.
86'
Malek H.
90' Event
Khemais R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ales in this National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Toulon
30%
Draws
39%
Ales
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ales lately — more wins on the board than Toulon.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Toulon Clean Sheet 68%
Ales Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulon Ales
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.35 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Toulon vs Ales
0:1
Nov 25, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Ales vs Toulon
2:3
Apr 22, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Ales
0:0
Nov 26, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Ales vs Toulon
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Ales Compare

Top Goalscorer Khemais R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulon 41 / 100
Ales 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulon Ales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toulon scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Ales let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Toulon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Toulon VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulon

(Home)
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1
Toulon
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3
Toulon
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1
Toulon
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Ales

(Away)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)