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Stadium Background

Toulon vs Ales

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

75'
Moutault E.
86'
Malek H.
90' Event
Khemais R.

AI Match Summary

Ales in this National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Toulon
40%
Draws
29%
Ales
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toulon lately — more wins on the board than Ales.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Toulon Clean Sheet 16%
Ales Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulon Ales
Matches Played 41 32
Wins 14 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Toulon vs Ales
0:1
Nov 25, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Ales vs Toulon
2:3
Apr 22, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Ales
0:0
Nov 26, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Ales vs Toulon
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ales Compare

Top Goalscorer Khemais R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulon 31 / 100
Ales 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulon Ales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toulon scored in 78% of their last 41 games.

Ales let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Toulon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Toulon VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulon

(Home)
16 May
Toulon
0 : 0
FC Bobigny 93
09 May
Saint Priest
2 : 2
Toulon
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1
Toulon
25 Apr
Toulon
2 : 1
Rumilly Vallieres
18 Apr
Limonest
2 : 0
Toulon
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Ales

(Away)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aubagne FC261410233:1752
2Le Puy-en-Velay261210439:2446
3RC Grasse261012431:2142
4Jura Sud261011534:2341
5Cannes26913441:2140
6Hyeres26910737:2237
7Frejus Saint Raphael26812625:1936
8Toulon2698930:2935
9Andrezieux26971026:2834
10Ales26781123:3929
11Thonon-Evian26771227:3528
12Chamalieres265111026:4026
13Bourgoin Jallieu26491324:4321
14Toulouse II26181724:5911
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)