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Toulon vs Athletico Marseille Prediction & H2H Stats

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National 2 - Group A 2018/2019
Toulon Logo

Toulon

4 - 1
FT
Athletico Marseille Logo

Athletico Marseille

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2018/2019 game between Toulon and Athletico Marseille finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toulon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Toulon
15%
Draws
40%
Athletico Marseille
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toulon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Athletico Marseille come out ahead of Toulon on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Toulon taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Toulon Clean Sheet 16%
Athletico Marseille Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulon Athletico Marseille
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 11 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.42 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 National 1 - Group A
Toulon vs Athletico Marseille
4:1
Sep 8, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Athletico Marseille vs Toulon
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulon 48 / 100
Athletico Marseille 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulon Athletico Marseille

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Toulon's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Athletico Marseille let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Toulon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toulon VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulon

(Home)
03 Oct
Toulon
1 : 0
Troyes II
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1
Toulon
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3
Toulon
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
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Athletico Marseille

(Away)
14 Feb
Athletico Marseille
0 : 1
Aubagne FC
07 Feb
Saint-Zacharie
0 : 1
Athletico Marseille
19 Jan
Athletico Marseille
0 : 2
Rennes
04 Jan
Athletico Marseille
2 : 1
Rodez
07 Dec
RC Grasse
1 : 2
Athletico Marseille
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulon 30 16 11 3 43:25 59
2 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 17 6 7 51:38 57
3 Annecy 30 15 9 6 50:34 53
4 Jura Sud 30 13 11 6 43:30 50
5 Athletico Marseille 30 14 5 11 57:46 47
6 Marseille Endoume 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
7 Hyeres 30 11 8 11 29:33 41
8 Saint Priest 30 11 7 12 39:42 40
9 Martigues 30 10 11 9 40:30 40
10 RC Grasse 30 10 9 11 35:42 39
11 GOAL FC 30 11 6 13 32:39 39
12 Lyon II 30 10 7 13 56:47 37
13 Marseille II 30 10 5 15 50:57 35
14 Monaco II 30 9 6 15 44:52 33
15 Pontarlier 30 5 7 18 20:53 22
16 Nice II 30 5 5 20 41:70 20
Promotion - National 2019/2020 (Main)