Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toulon vs Saint Priest

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Diarra D.
45' Event
Benhmida M.
73' Event
Ephestion T.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between Toulon and Saint Priest finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Priest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Toulon
35%
Draws
25%
Saint Priest
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Toulon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Toulon come out ahead of Saint Priest on wins alone.
  • Model gives Toulon a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Toulon Clean Sheet 68%
Saint Priest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulon Saint Priest
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Saint Priest vs Toulon
2:2
Jan 17, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Saint Priest
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Toulon vs Saint Priest
4:2
Sep 14, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Saint Priest vs Toulon
1:2
Apr 29, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Saint Priest vs Toulon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulon Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Saint Priest Compare

Top Goalscorer Benhmida M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ephestion T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulon 95 / 100
Saint Priest 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulon Saint Priest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Priest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Toulon scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Toulon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toulon VS Saint Priest
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulon

(Home)
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1
Toulon
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3
Toulon
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1
Toulon
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Saint Priest

(Away)
19 Sept
Hyeres
1 : 1
Saint Priest
12 Sept
Saint Priest
1 : 1
Hauts Lyonnais
05 Sept
Troyes II
3 : 1
Saint Priest
29 Aug
Saint Priest
2 : 1
Lyon - La Duchere
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)