Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Teze J.
Assist: Adingra S.
18'
18'
Camara L.
Assist: Akliouche M.
31'
31'
Cresswell C.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Toulouse and Monaco finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monaco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Monaco come out ahead of Toulouse on wins alone.
- Monaco are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 11%
Monaco Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toulouse | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Monaco
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Toulouse
1:0
Mar 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Monaco
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Toulouse
2:0
Feb 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Toulouse
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toulouse Compare
Top Goalscorer Russell-Rowe J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Emersonn
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Monaco Compare
Top Goalscorer Teze J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Camara L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toulouse 10 / 100
Monaco 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toulouse Monaco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monaco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monaco let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Toulouse found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Toulouse stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Toulouse VS Monaco
1 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Toulouse
(Home) 19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2 Le Havre
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2 Toulouse
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1 Lille
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2 Toulouse
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2 Lyon
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2 Le Havre
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1 Lille
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2 Lyon
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2 Hamburger
31 Jul
Toulouse
2 : 1 Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 3
Monaco
(Away) 18 Sept
Monaco
2 : 1 Lens
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1 Monaco
04 Sept
PSG
1 : 2 Monaco
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0 Marseille
27 Aug
Monaco
4 : 1 Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1 Monaco
04 Sept
PSG
1 : 2 Monaco
23 Aug
Le Havre
0 : 1 Monaco
20 Aug
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 3 Monaco
14 Aug
Coventry
2 : 0 Monaco
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 29:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
