Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toulouse vs Rodez

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Casseres C.
19'
Sub
Azizi I. In: Donnum A.
Out: Azizi I.
23'
Lipinski R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Toulouse
30%
Draws
47%
Rodez
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rodez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Rodez have won more games recently than Toulouse.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Toulouse taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 10%
Rodez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse Rodez
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.3 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Toulouse vs Rodez
1:1
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Toulouse vs Rodez
2:1
Mar 24, 2023 Club Friendly
Toulouse vs Rodez
4:0
Mar 1, 2023 Coupe de France
Toulouse vs Rodez
6:1
May 2, 2022 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Toulouse
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Casseres C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Touho M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse 34 / 100
Rodez 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse Rodez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rodez conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Toulouse scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Rodez lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse VS Rodez
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulouse

(Home)
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2
Lyon
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2
Hamburger
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Rodez

(Away)
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
22 Aug
Nantes
2 : 5
Rodez
14 Aug
Annecy
2 : 0
Rodez
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