Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toulouse vs Rodez

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Casseres C.
19'
Sub
Azizi I. In: Donnum A.
Out: Azizi I.
23'
Lipinski R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Toulouse
39%
Draws
30%
Rodez
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodez have won more games recently than Toulouse.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Toulouse Clean Sheet 11%
Rodez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse Rodez
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Toulouse vs Rodez
1:1
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Toulouse vs Rodez
2:1
Mar 24, 2023 Club Friendly
Toulouse vs Rodez
4:0
Mar 1, 2023 Coupe de France
Toulouse vs Rodez
6:1
May 2, 2022 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Toulouse
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Casseres C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Touho M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse 30 / 100
Rodez 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse Rodez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rodez conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Toulouse has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Toulouse scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse VS Rodez
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulouse

(Home)
25 Jul
Toulouse
1 : 1
Rodez
17 May
Nantes
0 : 0
Toulouse
10 May
Toulouse
2 : 1
Lyon
03 May
Strasbourg
1 : 2
Toulouse
25 Apr
Toulouse
2 : 2
Monaco
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Rodez

(Away)
25 Jul
Toulouse
1 : 1
Rodez
22 Jul
Rodez
2 : 1
Nimes
17 Jul
Rodez
4 : 1
Cannes
10 Jul
Rodez
5 : 3
Bastia
15 May
St Etienne
1 : 0
Rodez
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