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Stadium Background

Toulouse W vs Lille W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toulouse W play Lille W in the Seconde Ligue Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Toulouse W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Lille W averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Toulouse W won 3, Lille W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Toulouse W and 1.38 for Lille W. This points to a Toulouse W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Toulouse W
18%
Draws
27%
Lille W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Toulouse W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Toulouse W picked up more points recently compared to Lille W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 17%
Lille W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse W Lille W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.9 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Lille W
3:2
Jan 18, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Toulouse W
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Toulouse W
3:5
Dec 8, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Lille W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulouse W Compare

Top Goalscorer Marty C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Altunkulak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Conesa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haugou P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse W 53 / 100
Lille W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse W Lille W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulouse W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Toulouse W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Toulouse W attacking → ← attacking Lille W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toulouse W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Lille W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Toulouse W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lille W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 32
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Toulouse W22154348:2149
2Saint-Malo W22124634:2840
3Le Mans W22123728:2039
4Auxerre W22105731:2535
5Grenoble W2297631:2434
6Lille W2295831:2532
7Thonon Evian W2294935:2931
8Nice W2285928:3129
9Reims W2276926:3327
10Metz W22641231:4222
11Rodez AF W22641216:3222
12Guingamp W22231717:469