Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toulouse W vs Lille W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Conesa A.
25' Event
Altunkulak S.
46' Event
Marty C.

AI Match Summary

Toulouse W in this Seconde Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toulouse W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Toulouse W
33%
Draws
27%
Lille W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Toulouse W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Toulouse W have won more games recently than Lille W.
  • Model gives Toulouse W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Toulouse W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 17%
Lille W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse W Lille W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.25 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Lille W
3:2
Jan 18, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Toulouse W
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Toulouse W
3:5
Dec 8, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Lille W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulouse W Compare

Top Goalscorer Marty C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Altunkulak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Conesa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haugou P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse W 39 / 100
Lille W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse W Lille W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

Toulouse W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Lille W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Toulouse W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse W VS Lille W
2.25 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toulouse W22154348:2149
2Saint-Malo W22124634:2840
3Le Mans W22123728:2039
4Auxerre W22105731:2535
5Grenoble W2297631:2434
6Lille W2295831:2532
7Thonon Evian W2294935:2931
8Nice W2285928:3129
9Reims W2276926:3327
10Metz W22641231:4222
11Rodez AF W22641216:3222
12Guingamp W22231717:469