Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toulouse W vs Metz W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Solanet T.
40' Event
Lapassouse L.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Toulouse W and Metz W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toulouse W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Toulouse W
20%
Draws
70%
Metz W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Metz W haven't matched Toulouse W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Metz W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Toulouse W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 16%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse W Metz W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.07 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Metz W
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Toulouse W
0:2
Mar 16, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Metz W
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Toulouse W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulouse W Compare

Top Goalscorer Solanet T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lapassouse L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Metz W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse W 10 / 100
Metz W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse W Metz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metz W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toulouse W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Metz W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Toulouse W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse W VS Metz W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulouse W

(Home)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 6

Metz W

(Away)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)