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Toulouse W vs Rodez AF W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Altunkulak S.
8' Event
Altunkulak S.
35'
Ly A.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Toulouse W and Rodez AF W finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toulouse W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Toulouse W
30%
Draws
47%
Rodez AF W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rodez AF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Toulouse W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Rodez AF W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Toulouse W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 20%
Rodez AF W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toulouse W Rodez AF W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Toulouse W vs Rodez AF W
5:0
Apr 25, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Toulouse W
4:4
Dec 20, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Rodez AF W
5:1
Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Rodez AF W vs Toulouse W
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Rodez AF W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toulouse W Compare

Top Goalscorer Altunkulak S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lapassouse L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Rodez AF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Roumiga Sonia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toulouse W 20 / 100
Rodez AF W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toulouse W Rodez AF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodez AF W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toulouse W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Rodez AF W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Rodez AF W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Toulouse W VS Rodez AF W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.17
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulouse W

(Home)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
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Rodez AF W

(Away)
08 Aug
Toulouse W
5 : 0
Rodez AF W
24 May
Thonon Evian W
3 : 1
Rodez AF W
17 May
Rodez AF W
0 : 0
Reims W
03 May
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Rodez AF W
25 Apr
Rodez AF W
4 : 4
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)